What is the expected impact on existing shareholders' ownership percentage and potential dilution?
Answer
1. What the numbers mean
Item | Figure (from the release) | Interpretation |
---|---|---|
ClassâŻA ordinary shares being sold | 1,400,000 | New shares that will be added to the capitalâstock on the day the IPO closes. |
Offer price | USâŻ$4.00 per share | The price at which the new shares are being sold to the public. |
Gross proceeds | USâŻ$5.6âŻmillion (1.4âŻMâŻĂâŻ$4) | Cash that the company will receive from the offering. |
Ticker | EFTY (Nasdaq Capital Market) | The shares will begin trading on Nasdaq on 8âŻAugâŻ2025. |
2. Dilution â the âpercentageâownershipâ effect on existing shareholders
Because the company is issuing 1.4âŻmillion new shares, the total share count after the IPO will be:
[
\text{Total shares postâIPO} = \text{Existing shares} + 1,400,000
]
The exact percentageâownership change for any existing shareholder depends on how many shares they already own relative to the total preâIPO share count. Since the press release does not disclose the preâIPO outstanding share count, we can only illustrate the mechanics with a few plausible scenarios.
Scenario | PreâIPO shares outstanding | % ownership before | % ownership after (if no additional purchase) |
---|---|---|---|
A â Small existing base | 5,000,000 | 100âŻ% (if you own the whole company) | (\frac{5,000,000}{5,000,000+1,400,000}=78.2âŻ%) |
B â Midâsize company | 10,000,000 | 100âŻ% (again, âyouâ own everything) | (\frac{10,000,000}{10,000,000+1,400,000}=87.7âŻ%) |
C â Large, established firm | 30,000,000 | 100âŻ% | (\frac{30,000,000}{30,000,000+1,400,000}=95.6âŻ%) |
D â Typical HongâKongâlisted financial services firm | 50,000,000 | 100âŻ% | (\frac{50,000,000}{50,000,000+1,400,000}=97.2âŻ%) |
Key takeâaways from the table
Dilution is proportional to the size of the existing share pool.
If the preâIPO pool is relatively small (e.g., 5âŻM shares), the new 1.4âŻM shares represent a *22âŻ%** increase in total shares, cutting an existing holderâs stake from 100âŻ% to about 78âŻ% (a 22âŻ% dilution).
If the preâIPO pool is large (e.g., 50âŻM shares), the same 1.4âŻM shares only add *2.8âŻ%** to the total, so an existing holderâs stake falls from 100âŻ% to about 97âŻ% (a 2.8âŻ% dilution).The absolute dollar value of the proceeds ($5.6âŻM) does not directly affect dilution; dilution is driven solely by the number of new shares relative to the existing share count.
3. What dilution means for shareholders
Impact | Explanation |
---|---|
Ownership percentage | Existing shareholders own a smaller slice of the company after the IPO unless they also buy a proportionate amount of the new shares. |
Voting power | The same principle applies: each share typically carries one vote, so the total voting pool expands, reducing the weight of each preâexisting share. |
Earnings per share (EPS) | Assuming the companyâs earnings stay constant, EPS will fall because the earnings are now spread over more shares. |
Book value per share | Book value per share will be diluted in the same way as EPS, unless the $5.6âŻM of cash raised is used to acquire assets that increase the equity base. |
Liquidity & market perception | Adding a public float on Nasdaq generally improves liquidity and can lead to a higher valuation multiple, partially offsetting the mechanical dilution. |
4. How existing shareholders can limit or offset dilution
Option | How it works | When it matters |
---|---|---|
Participate in the offering (e.g., via a ârightsâ or âpreâemptiveâ allocation) | Buying a proportionate number of the 1.4âŻM new shares keeps the shareholderâs ownership percentage roughly constant. | Only possible if the IPO is structured with a rightsâissue or if the underwriters reserve a portion for existing investors. |
Hold through the lockâup period | If the IPO includes a lockâup for insiders, the market will absorb the new shares gradually, limiting immediate price pressure. | Helps preserve value but does not stop dilution; it merely smooths the postâIPO price dynamics. |
Reinvest the proceeds | Using the $5.6âŻM cash to fund growth projects, acquisitions, or higherâreturn assets can raise future earnings, thereby âreâdilutingâ the share base with higher earnings per share. | Longâterm benefit; the immediate dilution remains the same, but the impact on valuation can be mitigated. |
5. Bottomâline assessment
- Dilution is inevitable because the company is issuing 1.4âŻmillion new shares.
- The magnitude of dilution depends on the preâIPO share countâwhich the release does not disclose.
- In a typical midâsize HongâKong financialâservices firm (e.g., 10â30âŻM existing shares), the new issue would represent ~4âŻ%â14âŻ% of the total postâIPO share base, translating to a 4âŻ%â14âŻ% reduction in each existing shareholderâs ownership percentage if they do not participate in the offering.
- The cash raised ($5.6âŻM) can be used to fund growth, improve the balance sheet, or expand the business, which may ultimately enhance the companyâs earnings and market valuation, offsetting the mechanical dilution over time.
6. Quick âruleâofâthumbâ formula you can use
If you know the preâIPO share count (Sâ), the postâIPO share count (Sâ) is:
[
Sâ = Sâ + 1{,}400{,}000
]
Your new ownership percentage (if you do not buy any of the new shares) is:
[
\text{Ownership}_{\text{post}} = \frac{\text{Your preâIPO shares}}{Sâ}
]
The percentage dilution you experience is:
[
\text{Dilution} = 1 - \frac{Sâ}{Sâ}
]
Plug in the actual Sâ once you obtain it from the companyâs shareholder register (or from its annual report) to get the exact figure for your stake.
In summary: Existing shareholders will see their ownership percentage fall because 1.4âŻmillion new shares are being added to the capital structure. The exact size of the dilution depends on how many shares were already outstanding, but a typical range for a firm of this size is roughly 4âŻ%â14âŻ%. While dilution reduces each shareâs claim on earnings and voting power, the $5.6âŻmillion of fresh capital can be deployed to grow the business, potentially delivering higher future earnings that offset the dilutionâs impact on value. If existing shareholders want to keep their stake unchanged, they would need to purchase a proportionate slice of the new issue (subject to any rightsâallocation provisions).