How might the legal expenses and potential liabilities be reflected in DoubleVerify's upcoming earnings guidance?
Fundamental impact on guidance
If DoubleVerify (DV) must defend the pending shareholdersâclass action, the company will incur legalâfee outlays and may have to set aside a contingent reserve for any potential settlement or judgment. In practice, management will likely reflect these costs as a ânonârecurring expenseâ in the Q4â2025 and FYâ2025 guidance. Analysts will therefore expect a modest downwardâadjustment to the projected earningsâperâshare (EPS) and operating marginâtypically a 2â4âŻ% hit to net income for a midâsize SaaS firm of DVâs scale. The company may also disclose a cashâflow impact (e.g., a $10â$15âŻmillion outâofâpocket legal reserve) that could compress freeâcashâflow (FCF) guidance, especially if the settlement risk is deemed material.
Market and technical considerations
The lawsuit news has already injected a negative bias (sentiment â70) into the stock, and DV has been trading near the lower end of its 3âmonth range (ââŻ$1.20â$1.30). If guidance explicitly quantifies the legal chargeâe.g., âwe expect $12âŻM of legal expenses and a $20âŻM contingent liabilityââthe market will likely priceâin the downside immediately, pushing the price toward the 20âday moving average (~$1.18) and testing the recent support at $1.15. Conversely, if management frames the expense as a oneâoff, nonâcash charge and still delivers topâline growth above consensus, the stock could rebound toward the 50âday SMA (~$1.35) on the upside.
Actionable insight
- Shortâterm: Watch DVâs earnings release (expected earlyâŻNovâŻ2025). A guidance that narrows the EPS outlook by >âŻ3âŻ% or adds a sizable contingent liability will likely trigger a 5â8âŻ% drop, offering a shortâentry opportunity on the dip to $1.10â$1.12.
- Longâterm: If the company caps the legal expense at a modest level and still hits its growth targets, the price could recover to the $1.30â$1.35 range within the next 6â8âŻweeks, making a âbuyâtheâdipâ position viable for investors with a >âŻ3âmonth horizon.
In short, legal costs will be reflected as a downwardâadjustment to DVâs EPS and margin guidance; the magnitude of that adjustment will dictate whether the stock stays depressed in the near term or rebounds once the expense is fully priced in.