Will the earnings release trigger any changes in options activity, such as increased implied volatility or adjustments to the options chain?
Earningsâdriven options dynamics
Because DDS will release its Q2 and yearâtoâdate results before the open, the market will price in the surprise (or confirmation) overnight. In the days leading up to the release, the options chain typically tightens: bidâask spreads narrow, and the implied volatility (IV) surface compresses as traders shed âeventâriskâ premium. Once the earnings are posted, the first reaction is a sharp IV spikeâoften 15â30âŻ% above the preârelease levelâfor the nearestâexpiry strikes (0â30âŻdays) as market participants scramble to reâprice the new information. The jump is most pronounced on the atâtheâmoney (ATM) and nearâATM strikes where delta exposure is highest, while farâoutâofâtheâmoney (OTM) contracts see a more muted rise.
Trading implications
- Shortâterm volatility play: If you expect the results to be broadly in line with consensus, a sellâIV or shortâgamma strategy (e.g., short straddles/strangles) can capture the IV decay after the postârelease spike. Conversely, if you anticipate a material beat or miss, buying ATM options (calls for a beat, puts for a miss) before the release can profit from the IV surge and directional move.
- Liquidity & delta management: The IV jump will increase premiums on the frontâmonth series, making it attractive to sell highâIV options (e.g., sell a nearâterm call/put) and hedge with the underlying or a deltaâneutral spread. Watch the VIXâDDS correlation; a broader market VIX rise can amplify DDS IV, so consider hedging systemic risk if you hold large directional positions.
- Chain adjustments: Expect market makers to reâquote the entire chain after the release, widening bidâask spreads on the most active strikes. Anticipate a brief period of elevated IV across the 30âday and 60âday expirations, then a gradual reâversion to the historical volatility baseline as the earnings narrative settles.
Actionable takeâaway: Position ahead of the release with a shortâIV bias on the frontâmonth ATM strikes if youâre comfortable with a modest directional view, and be ready to take profits or roll the position as IV normalizes within 1â2âŻdays postârelease. Keep a close eye on the actual earnings surprise and any forwardâguidance, as those will dictate whether the IV spike sustains or collapses.