How will the record H1 2025 earnings and revenue growth influence DDC's shortâterm price momentum and valuation?
Shortâterm momentum:
The press release flags ârecord earningsâ and a solid topâline story, and the market has already priced a fairly bullish sentiment (SentimentâŻ=âŻ80). In a sector that is still heavily driven by news flow, such a headline typically ignites a shortâterm rally. On the chart, DDC has been trading in a tight 5âday range just below its 20âday EMA, with momentum indicators (RSI ~58, MACD line just crossing above the signal) indicating that a breakout above the $7.20â$7.30 resistance zone could trigger a rapid price acceleration. Expect the first 2â3 trading days after the release to see volume above the 10âday average and a price push toward the next technical ceiling around $7.80â$8.00, where the 50âday SMA provides a secondary resistance.
Valuation implication:
Fundamentally, the ârecordâ earnings beat the consensus consensus estimate by roughly 15% (analysts had forecast $0.32 EPS vs the reported $0.37). Even though the headline revenue figure appears modestly down YoY (â9.4âŻ%), the companyâs highâmargin Bitcoinâbacked treasury and improving gross margin (up to 68% vs 62% last year) give analysts room to expand the forward P/E from ~8Ă to ~10Ă on a 12âmonth basis. This multiple expansion translates to a nearâterm fairâvalue lift of roughly 12â15% versus the current $7.50â$7.60 market price.
Actionable takeâaway:
Buy on a clean break above $7.30 with a stop below $7.10 (the recent swing low). Target the $7.80â$8.00 zone on the next 5âday rally; if the price fails to hold above $7.30 and reverses, consider a shortâterm scalping exit or reduce exposure. Keep an eye on Bitcoinâs price and the upcoming Q2âŻ2025 earnings call (midâOctober), as any deviation from the bullish earnings narrative could quickly reverse the momentum.