Topâline contributors
The CNRC Q2 filing makes clear that the earnings boost came almost entirely from two of its operating assets:
- Surya Oil & Gas Corp. (formerly Cunningham Natural Resources Corp.) â the upstream âcoreâ business delivered $112âŻmillion of net income, driven by a 23âŻ% lift in realized oilâprice spreads and a 15âŻ% increase in production volumes (up to 45âŻkb/d) versus Q2â2024.
- Midstream Energy Holdings (the âmidstreamâ platform) â contributed $38âŻmillion of net income, buoyed by a 12âŻ% rise in NGL and crudeâbyârail volumes and a 5âŻ% feeârunââoff from its processing contracts.
Together these two entities accounted for roughly 80âŻ% of the consolidated net earnings for the quarter.
Outlook & trading implications
Surya Oil &âŻGas: Management projects a continued 5â7âŻ% YoY production growth through 2026, underpinned by the newlyâcommissioned 8âwell pad in the Permian Basin and a disciplined hedging program that should keep realized margins above $15/bbl. The upside is reinforced by a bullish macro backdropâglobal oil demand is still on a 2.5âŻ% annual rise, while OPEC+ supplyâcut discipline remains intact. From a technical perspective, SOGCâs stock is holding above its 20âday SMA (~$4.12) and has broken a shortâterm resistance at $4.45, suggesting a buyâonâdip if the price retests $4.30â4.35 with volume support.
Midstream Energy Holdings: The midstream unit is set to benefit from a 10âŻ% YoY increase in NGL processing capacity (new fractionation train) and a 3âyear âtakeâorâpayâ contract extension with a major Gulf Coast refiner. The outlook is modestly positive, with earnings expected to rise 4â6âŻ% per quarter. Technically, the midstream ticker is in a tight range between $2.78 and $3.12; a breakout above $3.12 on strong volume could open a shortâterm upside to $3.30, while a breach below $2.78 would test the $2.55 support level.
Actionable takeâaways
- Long exposure to CNRCâs core upstream asset (Surya Oil &âŻGas) appears justified on both fundamentals and a bullish shortâterm chart pattern. Consider adding a modest position at current levels, with a stop just below the 20âday SMA to protect against a corrective pullâback.
- Midstream exposure can be taken more selectivelyâeither a small directional bet on a breakout above $3.12 or a hedged position (e.g., buying the midstream stock while shorting a related NGLâETF) to capture the incremental margin upside without overâcommitting capital.