Will the introduction of this tool increase trading volume and liquidity on CMEâs aluminum contracts?
Short answer:âŻYes â the screenâbased price assessment tool is expected to boost both trading volume and liquidity in CMEâs aluminum contracts, especially the Aluminum Midwest Premium (AMP) futures.
Why:
The new PlattsâCME screenâbased assessment provides a transparent, highâfrequency reference price that sits directly in the trading screen. By delivering an âonâscreenâ benchmark that is tightly coupled to the cash market, the tool reduces the information gap between physical traders and derivatives participants. That tighter priceâdiscovery loop encourages more market makers to post quotes, narrows bidâask spreads, and draws additional hedgers (e.g., primary aluminum producers, fabricators, and recyclers) who now have a reliable realâtime cash anchor for their futures positions. The sentiment of the announcement (+60) and the involvement of a reputable priceâsetter (Platts) further reinforce market confidence, a classic catalyst for higher open interest and daily turnover.
Trading implications:
- Liquidity watch: Expect a measurable reduction in spread width on AMP contracts within the first few weeks; monitor the LevelâŻ2 order book for a rise in depth.
- Volume spikes: Look for a surge in volume on the nearestâmonth contract as participants test the new benchmark; a breakout above the priorâday high on increased volume can be a shortâterm bullish signal.
- Basis strategies: The more accurate cashâfutures basis that the tool enables creates opportunities for basisâtrade arbitrageâlong the future, short the physical (or viceâversa) when the basis diverges beyond historical 1âÏ levels.
- Risk note: Early adoption may bring shortâterm volatility as traders adjust to the new reference; keep stopâlosses tight until the market settles into the new pricing regime.
Overall, the screenâbased assessment should make the AMP market more efficient, attract a broader participant base, and translate into higher volumes and tighter liquidity on the CME aluminum contract ladder.