What impact might this record OI have on CME's revenue and fee structure from futures and options trading?
The recordâhigh openâinterest (OI) in U.S. Treasury and SOFR contracts signals a deepâening of the interestârate market on CME, and that depth translates directly into higher revenue for the exchange. Every additional contract that is opened generates a tradeâexecution fee, a clearingâandâsettlement charge, and, for options, a âdeltaâhedgingâ fee that is proportional to the amount of delta the clearing house must manage. With 31.6âŻMM Treasury contracts and 13.7âŻMM SOFR contracts now sitting on the books, CMEâs daily grossâvolume is likely to rise 15â20âŻ% versus the previous yearâhigh, pushing total fee income up by the same order of magnitude. Moreover, the larger the OI, the more âmarginâutilisationâ and âriskâmanagementâ fees the clearing side can levy, because the clearing house must hold and monitor a bigger pool of collateral and marginâadjustments.
From a feeâstructure perspective, CME will probably keep its headline perâcontract rates unchangedâany price hike would risk eroding the competitive advantage that attracted the record OI in the first place. Instead, the exchange is likely to lean on its existing tieredâpricing model, offering volumeâdiscounts to the most active participants while still extracting premium âliquidityâproviderâ fees from highâfrequency and marketâmaking firms that trade the bulk of the flow. The record OI also gives CME leverage to introduce ancillary services (e.g., advanced data feeds, analytics, or bespoke clearing arrangements) that can be crossâsold to the expanding user base, further diversifying its revenue mix.
Trading takeâaway: The deeper orderâbook should tighten bidâask spreads and improve depth for Treasury and SOFR products, making it easier for largeâsize hedgers and speculators to transact with minimal slippage. However, the growing volume will also increase the clearing houseâs deltaâhedging activity, which can add a modest âgammaâdragâ to option pricing. Keep an eye on CMEâs quarterly feeâannouncementsâif the OI continues to climb, the exchange may start to monetize the excess liquidity through new ancillary fees or modest adjustments to its tiered schedule, which could affect execution costs for highâfrequency traders.