How will the proceeds from the offering be allocated—e.g., for debt refinancing, capital expenditures, or working capital—and what impact will that have on CLF's cash flow and operations? | CLF (Sep 03, 2025) | Candlesense

How will the proceeds from the offering be allocated—e.g., for debt refinancing, capital expenditures, or working capital—and what impact will that have on CLF's cash flow and operations?

Use of proceeds – Cleveland‑Cliffs has not disclosed a line‑item breakdown, but a $600 million senior‑note issuance at the size and tenor (2034) is typical of a mixed‑purpose financing. Management is likely to allocate a substantial portion to refinancing existing high‑cost debt (particularly the 2024‑2026 term facilities that are nearing maturity), which will extend the debt profile and lock in a relatively low‑coupon rate in a still‑elevated‑rate environment. The remainder will probably be set aside for working‑capital and incremental capital expenditures on its iron‑ore and steel operations—upgrades to the Marquette and Eagle Mine projects, and inventory financing for the downstream flat‑rolled business. In short, the notes will replace short‑term, higher‑interest borrowings and provide a cash cushion for routine operating needs and modest growth capex.

Impact on cash flow and operations – By swapping out near‑term debt for a 10‑year instrument, Cliffs will see a near‑term improvement in cash‑flow volatility: interest expense will be spread over a longer horizon and, assuming the coupon is lower than the average rate on the expiring facilities, net interest outlay should decline. The added liquidity also reduces the risk of a working‑capital squeeze during the cyclical downturns that often hit the steel sector, allowing the company to maintain inventory levels and meet supplier obligations without resorting to asset sales. Operationally, the modest capex floor can fund efficiency projects that marginally boost margins, but it is not large enough to drive a transformative expansion.

Trading implications – The note issuance will likely be well‑received by credit‑focused investors if the proceeds are indeed used to refinance, as the senior‑guaranteed status and extended maturity improve the company’s leverage ratios (debt‑to‑EBITDA) and credit metrics. Watch the spread on the 2034 CLF notes versus the U.S. Treasury curve; a tightening spread after the filing would suggest market confidence, while a widening could signal concerns about credit quality or over‑leveraging. For equity traders, a cleared refinancing plan should support the stock on the upside, especially if the coupon is modest (≈ 5‑6%). Consider adding to long positions on pullbacks if the notes are priced at a reasonable discount and the company’s credit rating remains stable, but stay alert for any revision to use‑of‑proceeds that earmarks a larger share for capex, which could dilute cash‑flow benefits and add execution risk.