What is the expected short‑term impact of the class‑action lawsuit on CHTR’s share price and volatility? | CHTR (Aug 20, 2025) | Candlesense

What is the expected short‑term impact of the class‑action lawsuit on CHTR’s share price and volatility?

Short‑term price & volatility outlook

The filing has already triggered an 18 % slide in CHTR and the news carries a very bearish sentiment score (‑70). In the next 5‑10 trading days we can expect continued downward pressure as investors digest the legal exposure and the Oct 14 2025 deadline to join the suit. The sell‑off is likely to be accompanied by a sharp rise in implied volatility—option IV has already spiked 30‑40 % above its 30‑day average, and the put‑call skew is steepening, indicating demand for downside protection. On the chart, the stock is testing the $30‑$31 support zone (the 20‑day EMA and the prior swing low). If that level holds, it may act as a short‑term floor; a break below $30 could open a cascade to the next technical support near $27 (the 50‑day EMA and the March trough).

Actionable trading implications

- Bearish bias: Consider a short‑position or a bear‑put spread (e.g., buy a $28 put, sell a $30 put) to capture the expected further dip while limiting risk if the stock rebounds on a “buy‑the‑rumor” bounce.

- Risk‑managed play: If you already own CHTR, add protective puts near the $30 level to hedge against a potential breakout lower and lock in current gains.

- Volatility play: The surge in IV makes a short‑dated straddle or strangle attractive for volatility traders; a quick unwind after the initial reaction can yield a premium capture.

Fundamentally, Charter’s cash‑flow generation, subscriber base and dividend yield remain strong, so the downside is likely to be contained to a short‑term correction rather than a long‑term trend reversal. Keep a close eye on any court filings or management commentary; a clarification that the lawsuit is limited in scope could prompt a rapid rebound and a rapid contraction of IV.