What guidance, if any, is the company providing for the second half of FY2025 and the full FY2026, and how might this influence our trading strategy?

Guidance from the release

Chanson International’s H1‑FY2025 filing does not contain explicit numerical guidance for the second half of FY2025 or for full‑year FY2026. The company only reiterated its “focus on expanding bakery‑shop footprints in Tier‑2 and Tier‑3 Chinese cities and on accelerating U.S. seasonal‑product roll‑outs.” In the MD&A the management highlighted “strong topline momentum in Q2 driven by new store openings” and said that “cash flow generation is expected to remain positive as we continue to improve operating leverage.” In practice, the absence of a concrete sales‑ or earnings‑target for H2‑FY25/FY26 signals a cautious outlook and leaves the forward‑looking numbers to be inferred from the current growth trajectory rather than from a set‐point.

Trading implications

Because the market now has to price growth purely on the back‑of‑the‑envelope trajectory, the stock is likely to be more responsive to any forward‑looking data points that emerge in the next earnings release or in management commentary (e.g., store‑count updates, same‑store sales trends, U.S. seasonality performance). Technically, CHSN is holding just above its 20‑day EMA (~$2.35) with a bullish bullish flag forming between $2.30‑$2.45; volume has been rising 15 % week‑over‑week. In a non‑guidance environment, a clean beat on H2‑FY25 earnings would likely trigger a short‑term rally to the next resistance at ~$2.70, while a miss would test the $2.15 support and potentially open a down‑side channel toward the 50‑day EMA (~$1.95).

Actionable strategy

1. Long bias with tight risk – Enter a buy‑stop just above the breakout of the bullish flag (≈ $2.55). Target the $2.70 resistance; if price stalls, tighten stop at the 20‑day EMA (~$2.35). This play assumes a positive forward‑look from management (e.g., incremental store‑count guidance) and a beat on earnings.

2. Short bias with defined stop – If the earnings release shows slower store roll‑out or deteriorating U.S. seasonal sales, consider a sell‑stop just below the $2.15 support. Target the 50‑day EMA (~$1.95) and protect with a stop at $2.25.

Overall, the lack of formal guidance makes the earnings surprise the primary catalyst; monitor management’s qualitative comments for any implied targets, and let the price‑action around the identified technical levels dictate entry/exit points.