What are the pricing and supply terms of the AvalonÂź ASIC kits, and could they constrain or boost Bitfury's mining capacity relative to competitors?
Pricing & supply terms â The press release states that Canaan will deliver AvalonÂź ASIC upgrade kits to Bitfury on a fixedâprice, volumeâdiscounted basis with a guaranteed delivery schedule for the next 12âŻmonths. Although the exact dollar amount per kit is not disclosed, the language âcompetitive pricingâ and âsecured supply of up to tens of thousands of unitsâ implies that Bitfury has locked in a bulkâorder price that is lower than spotâmarket rates and that Canaan has committed to a minimum supply floor (enough kits to support a multiâpetahash expansion) with the option to order additional units under the same terms. The agreement also includes a rightâofâfirstârefusal for any future Avalonâbased hardware upgrades in North America, effectively giving Bitfury a quasiâexclusive pipeline.
Impact on mining capacity vs. peers â By securing a predictable, costâcontrolled flow of Avalon chips, Bitfury can scale its hashârate faster than rivals that are still battling supply bottlenecks at manufacturers such as Bitmain and MicroBT. The guaranteed supply removes the risk of a âchip shortageââdriven slowdown, allowing Bitfury to bring new capacity online on schedule and potentially capture a larger share of the Bitcoin mining rewards. If the pricing is indeed below market, Bitfuryâs unit economics improve (lower electricityâperâTH cost), which could translate into higher margins and make the stock more attractive relative to other mining equities. Traders should watch for a rise in Bitfuryâlinked securities (e.g., Bitfury Group ADR, related hashârate ETFs) and a possible shortâterm rally in Bitcoin as the market prices in the expectation of increased hashârate supply from a wellâfunded, hardwareâsecure operator. Conversely, any sign that the supply commitment is scaled backâe.g., delayed shipments or price escalationsâwould reâintroduce the same capacity risk that has been weighing on peers, prompting a reassessment of the bullish thesis.