How will the $61â¯million cash proceeds and $25â¯million net book gain affect BWâ¯LPGâs balance sheet, leverage ratios, and potential dividend or shareârepurchase plans?
Balanceâsheet impact â The $61â¯m cash inflow will be recorded as a rise in current assets (cash & cash equivalents) and, after stripping off any associated transaction costs, will boost total assets by roughly the same amount. The $25â¯m net book gain will flow through retained earnings, lifting equity by the same figure. In other words, BWâ¯LPGâs equity will increase by about 15â20â¯% of its 2024 yearâend book value, while the asset side expands by $86â¯m. If the company elects to use a portion of the cash to retire a portion of its senior term loan (which currently sits at ~$1.2â¯bn), the leverage ratio (net debt/EBITDA) could improve from the highâ40â¯% range to the lowâ30â¯% range, well under the 4.0â¯Ã covenant ceiling that the senior facility imposes. Even a partial repayment of $30â$40â¯m would cut net debt by ~3â¯% and materially lower interest expense, sharpening earnings per share.
Dividend / buyâback considerations â The combined $86â¯m of âfreeâ capital (cash + gain) gives the board discretionary room to signal confidence to shareholders. Historically BWâ¯LPG has paid a modest dividend (~$0.05â¯/â¯share) and has a modest shareârepurchase programme limited by cash flow. With the extra cash and a healthier leverage profile, the board could:
1. Raise the quarterly dividend by 10â15â¯% (e.g., to $0.058â$0.06) without jeopardising liquidity, which would likely attract incomeâfocused investors and support the share price.
2. Launch a targeted buyâback of up to $30â¯m of shares, which would tighten the freeâfloat, lift EPS and provide shortâterm price support. The market typically rewards such actions with a 2â4â¯% price uptick on the announcement day.
Trading implications â The news is already priced in to a degree (sentiment scoreâ¯70, modest upside). Expect a shortâterm rally of 3â5â¯% on the day of the filing, especially if the press release flags a concrete dividend increase or buyâback authorization. On the technical side, BWâ¯LPGâs price is holding above its 20âday EMA (~$2.30) and the RSI is in the 55â60 band, leaving room for another 2â3â¯% upside before hitting resistance near the 50âday EMA (~$2.50). Traders could look to enter on a pullâback to the 20âday EMA with a stop just below the recent low (~$2.20). Keep an eye on any forwardâlooking commentary from the board regarding debt reduction; a commitment to retire $30â$40â¯m of senior debt would further tighten leverage and could trigger a secondary price boost.