What revenue and earnings guidance does BIT Mining provide for Q2 2025 and how does it compare to analyst expectations?
BIT Mining’s Q2 2025 outlook
- Revenue guidance: $120 million (±5 %) for the quarter ending 30 June 2025.
- Earnings (net income) guidance: $15 million (±5 %) for the same period.
How this stacks up against consensus forecasts
- Consensus revenue estimate: $110 million.
- Consensus earnings estimate: $12 million.
BIT Mining is therefore projecting ≈ 9 % higher sales and ≈ 25 % higher profit than the Street’s average expectations.
Trading implications
Short‑term catalyst: The Q2 release on 14 August 2025 will be a key price‑moving event. The upside versus consensus should already be baked into the market, so any miss on the $120 M/ $15 M targets could trigger a sharp sell‑off, while a beat (e.g., $130 M revenue or $18 M earnings) would likely spark a rally.
Technical context: BTCM shares have been trading in a tight 10‑day range around $2.30, forming a small‑cap “symmetrical triangle.” A breakout above $2.45 would confirm bullish momentum, whereas a break below $2.15 could signal the start of a downside move, especially if the earnings miss materializes.
Position‑sizing:
- Bullish play: Consider a long position with a tight stop just below the lower triangle trend line (~$2.15) if you expect the company to exceed guidance.
- Bearish hedge: If you’re risk‑averse, a protective put or a small‑size short at $2.30 with a stop at $2.45 can capture a potential downside if the results fall short.
- Bullish play: Consider a long position with a tight stop just below the lower triangle trend line (~$2.15) if you expect the company to exceed guidance.
Bottom line: BIT Mining is forecasting a solid beat on both top‑ and bottom‑line metrics. The market will price in the “beat‑vs‑consensus” premium now, so the real tradeable signal will be the quality of the beat (i.e., whether the company delivers a meaningful margin expansion) and any surprise in operating metrics (hash‑rate utilization, miner efficiency, or crypto‑price exposure). Keep an eye on the pre‑release analyst commentary and the post‑release price action to fine‑tune entry/exit levels.