Bottomâline performance vs. consensus
Bit Digital reported Q2 FY2025 revenue of $112âŻmillion, versus the Streetâs consensus estimate of roughly $98âŻmillion â a â14âŻ% beat. Net income came in at $3.9âŻmillion, compared with analystsâ median forecast of $5.2âŻmillion, meaning the company missed earnings by about 24âŻ%. The topâline surprise reflects the firmâs accelerated rollâup of Ethereumâstaking assets and higher fee yields from its treasuryâmanagement platform, while the earnings shortfall stems largely from a largerâthanâexpected provision for cryptoâmarketârisk writeâdowns and elevated operating expenses tied to the new stakingâinfrastructure rollout.
Trading implications
The revenue beat should keep the âbuyâtheâdipâ narrative alive, especially on the upsideâbiased technical side: BTBT is holding above its 20âday SMA and has just broken a modest bullish flag on the daily chart, suggesting shortâterm momentum can still be positive. However, the earnings miss introduces a nearâterm downside pressure point; the stock is already testing the $22âŻperâshare support that coincides with the 50âday moving average. A prudent play would be to target a retest of the $22 level with a modest longâposition if price holds, while keeping a tight stop just below $20 to guard against a deeper correction if the netâincome miss triggers a broader sellâoff. Conversely, if the price breaks below $20 on volume, a shortâposition with a stop around $22 could capture the downside from the earnings miss. In short, the mixed results leave the market splitâexpect volatility, and position for the side that the price action confirms.