Are there any regulatory or permitting challenges that could delay development of the newly identified pegmatites?
Regulatory & permitting outlook
The expansion of the Ivisaartoq lithium pegmatite field sits on Brunswickâs existing Nuuk licence â a permit that was already granted for the original 2024 discovery. In Greenland, the mining code requires a threeâstage permitting process (environmental impact assessment, mining licence and a final âoperatingâ licence) and, for large lithium projects, a comprehensive waterâuse and climateâimpact review. Because the new pegmatites simply extend the known trend along the same strike, the company can largely rely on the baseline studies already filed for the Nuuk licence. However, the increase in resource size (now a 2âŻkm strike) will likely trigger a reâsubmission of the environmental impact assessment and a public consultation period with the Greenlandic government and local Inuit communities. Historically, Greenlandâs government has been supportive of lithium development, but it maintains a strict ânoâgoâ on projects that could jeopardise sensitive habitats or fisheries. This means that any significant expansion of the mine footprint, road building or waterâdiversion works could add a 3â6âŻmonth lag while the Ministry of Mineral Resources reviews the amended plans.
Trading implications
- Shortâterm risk: The market will price in the nearâterm permitting uncertainty. If the company announces a reâfiling of the EIA or a new consultation window, expect a modestâtoâmoderate sellâoff (5â8âŻ% onâside) as investors add a timing premium to the stock.
- Longâterm upside: Assuming the permitting process proceeds without major objections, the expanded resource dramatically upgrades the spodumeneâgrade reserve base, which should lift the enterprise value (EV) multiple on the next cashâflow model. The upside is already baked into the recent rally (sentiment 80), so the stock may be overâpriced until the permitting milestone is hit.
- Actionable play: Keep the position tightâââstop around the current 2âweek low (ââŻ3âŻ% below the recent high) until the company releases an update on the revised environmental filing or government decision (expected in Q4âŻ2025). A confirmed greenâlight would clear the timing risk and set the stage for a breakout to the $1.30â$1.45 range on the back of the upgraded resource model. Conversely, a setback would justify a partial exit or defensive hedging.