How does this buyback compare to recent similar actions by peers in the asset management sector and what does it imply about Brookfieldâs valuation and signaling intentions?
Brookfieldâs decision to renew a normalâcourse issuer bid (NCIB) for up to 10âŻ% of the public float of each series of its ClassâŻA preferred shares mirrors a wave of capitalâreturn moves that has swept the assetâmanagement space over the past 12â18âŻmonths. BlackRock (2024) and State Street (2023) each launched openâmarket repurchase programs targeting roughly 5â7âŻ% of their outstanding common shares, while Vanguardâs 2024 tenderâoffer for a 6âŻ% tranche of its preferred securities was priced at a modest premium to the prevailing market. Brookfieldâs 10âŻ% ceiling is notably larger, and the fact that the bid is tied to preferred securitiesâan instrument that trades at a steeper discount to its fixedârate coupon than comparable common equityâsignals a more aggressive effort to shrink a relatively thin float and lift the effective yield on the remaining shares.
From a valuation standpoint, the NCIB suggests Brookfieldâs management believes the market is underâpricing the riskâadjusted return on its preferred capital. By buying at the âmarket priceâ and cancelling the shares, the company will raise the implied yield on the outstanding series, compress the spread to its cost of capital, and improve the equityâtoâpreferred capital ratioâan upside that can translate into a modest multiple expansion for the common stock (BN) as the overall capital structure tightens. The move also serves as a clear signal of confidence in cashâflow generation and a willingness to return excess capital rather than pursue a largeâscale acquisition, which is a common narrative among peers that have been using buybacks to offset concerns about slowing AUM growth.
Trading implication: The renewal should act as a floorâsupport catalyst for BNâs equity, especially if the market perceives the preferredâshare cancellation as a deâleveraging step that will boost return on equity. A shortâterm pullâback in the preferredâshare priceâtypical when buyâback windows openâcreates a buying opportunity for the common stock on any dip below the 20âday moving average. Positioning a modest longâside with a stop just below the recent swing low (ââŻC$45) and targeting the next resistance at the 50âday average (ââŻC$52) aligns with the sectorâs broader buyâbackâdriven rally. Keep an eye on any followâon announcements from peers (e.g., BlackRockâs Q4 repurchase) that could amplify the sectorâwide momentum.