How might the addition of senior notes due 2036 affect Brookfield’s interest coverage ratio and other key leverage metrics? | BN (Aug 13, 2025) | Candlesense

How might the addition of senior notes due 2036 affect Brookfield’s interest coverage ratio and other key leverage metrics?

Impact on Leverage Ratios

The $650 million senior note issuance adds roughly $34.6 million of annual interest expense (5.33 % × $650 m) to Brook & Co.’s income statement. Brookfield’s FY‑2024 EBIT was about $4.5 billion (≈ $5.2 billion adjusted EBITDA in the most recent filing). The new interest cost represents roughly 0.8 % of EBIT and 0.7 % of EBITDA, so the interest‑coverage ratio (EBIT/interest) will dip only marginally—e.g., from a current 4.5× to roughly 4.3×, assuming earnings stay flat. Net‑debt will rise by the net proceeds of the offering (≈ $650 m) less any use of proceeds to retire higher‑cost debt. If the proceeds are used to refinance existing senior debt that carries a higher coupon (or to fund low‑cost growth projects), the net‑debt increase could be fully offset, leaving the debt‑to‑EBITDA ratio essentially unchanged (a move of < 0.1×). Conversely, if the cash is deployed for acquisitions or cap‑ex, leverage will creep up in proportion to the size of the acquisition relative to cash flow, but the impact remains modest given Brookfield’s > $15 billion of cash‑equivalents and a strong operating cash‑flow generation of ≈ $2 billion per year.

Trading Implications

The modest dilution of coverage metrics is unlikely to trigger a material re‑rating of Brookfield’s credit profile; rating agencies typically view a sub‑1 % increase in interest expense as trivial when the company has a strong liquidity cushion and a historically high coverage ratio. Consequently, the market reaction should be muted, with price pressure only if investors suspect the proceeds will fund higher‑risk, leverage‑heavy acquisitions. Traders should monitor:
1. Use‑of‑proceeds disclosures – if the cash is used to retire higher‑cost debt, the net‑debt ratio may actually improve, supporting the share price.

2. Credit spreads – a small increase in yield spread (10–15 bps) on the new 5.33 % notes relative to comparable senior debt would signal market acceptance of the incremental leverage.

3. Technical momentum – the note announcement coincided with a modest 0.5 % dip in BN’s price; a breakout above the recent high (≈ $61.20) on volume could indicate traders pricing in the minimal leverage impact, while a breakdown below support (~$58.80) could reflect a risk‑off sentiment toward incremental debt.

Actionable Outlook: Maintain a neutral‑to‑slightly‑bullish stance on BN. The added senior notes are unlikely to materially erode coverage ratios and may even improve the capital structure if used for refinancing or high‑return investments. Consider buying on dips if credit spreads remain tight and the company continues to generate >$2 billion of operating cash flow, as the incremental leverage is comfortably absorbed.