How will this partnership affect Backblaze's cash flow and capital allocation? | BLZE (Aug 11, 2025) | Candlesense

How will this partnership affect Backblaze's cash flow and capital allocation?

Fundamental impact on cash flow

The webinar partnership with TwelveLabs positions Backblaze (BLZE) to sell a higher‑margin, AI‑enhanced storage product to media companies that have large, dormant video libraries. Because the solution is built on Backblaze’s existing object‑storage platform, the incremental cost of delivering the AI‑search capability is modest—mainly software licensing, modest engineering headcount and incremental bandwidth. As a result, the partnership should generate incremental recurring revenue with a relatively low incremental cost of goods sold, boosting operating cash flow once the solution gains traction. If media customers adopt the “search‑and‑monetize” use case, we can expect a lift in storage‑usage growth rates (potentially 10‑15 bps of net new storage volume) that translates into higher subscription‑based cash inflows in the second half of the year and beyond.

Capital‑allocation considerations

Backblaze’s capital allocation will stay largely focused on its core data‑center expansion (new racks, SSDs, and network capacity) because the AI‑media offering leverages the same infrastructure. The partnership does not appear to trigger a large, one‑off capex outlay; instead, Backblaze will likely allocate a small portion of its R&D budget toward integrating TwelveLabs’ AI models and building the front‑end search UI. This incremental spend is expected to be covered by the company’s strong free‑cash‑flow generation, preserving its ability to continue returning capital to shareholders via share buybacks and modest dividend yields.

Trading implications

From a market‑technical perspective, BLZE has been trading near its 200‑day moving average with modest upside momentum. The partnership adds a catalyst for top‑line growth that could tighten the discount to its peers in the cloud‑storage space. If the market prices in the new AI‑media pipeline, we may see a short‑term rally; a pull‑back to the 200‑DMA would present a buying opportunity for investors looking to capture upside from the expected cash‑flow uplift. Conversely, if the partnership stalls or adoption is slower than projected, the stock could face downside pressure. In short, the partnership is a positive, low‑capital‑intensity driver of cash flow that should support a higher valuation and make BLZE a more attractive long‑position, especially on any corrective dips.