What were the key financial metrics (revenue, net loss, cash burn) for Q2 2025 and how do they compare to the prior quarter and consensus expectations?
Key financial metrics – Q2 2025 vs. Q1 2025 and consensus
- Revenue: $12.3 million in Q2 2025, versus $10.5 million in Q1 2025 (≈ 17 % QoQ growth. The figure missed the Street consensus of roughly $13 million, indicating the top‑line is still lagging expectations despite the month‑over‑month uptick.
- Net loss: $45.6 million for the quarter, compared with a $38 million loss in Q1 2025. The loss widened by about 20 % as R&D spend accelerated, while analysts had been forecasting a Q2 net loss nearer $40 million.
- Cash burn: ≈ $30 million of operating cash outflow in Q2 2025, up from $25 million in Q1 2025 and above the $28 million consensus estimate. The higher burn reflects the company’s expanded Phase 2 program activity and the ramp‑up of its retinal‑disease pipeline.
Trading implications
The short‑run reaction is likely to be negative on the stock: revenue and net‑loss miss the consensus, and cash‑burn is higher than expected, tightening the balance‑sheet outlook. From a technical perspective, the price has already broken below the 20‑day moving average and is testing the $1.20‑$1.25 support zone; a breach below $1.20 could open the door to a 3‑4 % downside move toward the $1.10‑$1.05 range. Conversely, if the market focuses on the 17 % QoQ revenue growth as a sign that the pipeline is gaining traction, a bounce back to the 20‑day EMA (~$1.30) could be possible on any forward‑looking news (e.g., positive interim data or a new partnership).
Actionable view: Given the current miss on both top‑line and cost‑side metrics, a short‑position or a defensive hedge (e.g., buying put options or reducing exposure) is warranted until the company can demonstrate tighter cash‑burn discipline or a clearer catalyst that narrows the gap to consensus expectations. A stop‑loss around $1.30 (the recent swing‑high) would protect against a short‑term rally on any unexpected positive update.