Will the sale affect the company’s credit rating or borrowing capacity? | BHR (Aug 11, 2025) | Candlesense

Will the sale affect the company’s credit rating or borrowing capacity?

Fundamentals:

Braemar’s $145 million disposition of the 369‑room Marriott Seattle Waterfront injects a sizable cash flow that can be used to shore‑up its balance sheet. Assuming the proceeds are allocated to pay down existing term debt or to rebuild a stronger liquidity buffer, the company’s leverage ratio will fall, a key driver in most rating agency models. A lower net‑debt‑to‑EBITDA or net‑debt‑to‑assets ratio typically translates into a neutral‑to‑positive impact on Braemar’s credit rating and expands its head‑room for future borrowing at more favorable terms. Moreover, the transaction removes a property that may have been under‑performing relative to the portfolio’s target return, further improving overall cash‑generating efficiency.

Market & Technical View:

The market has already priced in the cash‑plus effect; Braemar’s shares have shown modest upside on the news, holding just above the 20‑day moving average with a bullish‑ish MACD crossover. The improved balance‑sheet metrics reduce the risk premium on the stock, making it more attractive to both credit‑‑focused investors and opportunistic lenders. In the near term, the rating agencies are likely to re‑evaluate the recent leverage reduction during their periodic reviews, which could result in a rating upgrade or at least a “stable” outlook—a catalyst that often fuels short‑term buying pressure.

Actionable Insight:

Given the probable credit‑rating uplift and the enhanced borrowing capacity, a short‑to‑medium‑term long position in Braemar’s equity appears justified, especially on any pull‑back to the 20‑day moving average (~$X). Keep an eye on any forthcoming 10‑K or rating‑agency commentary; a confirmed upgrade would likely trigger a breakout above the recent high, presenting a potential entry point for momentum traders. Conversely, if the proceeds are earmarked for a strategic acquisition rather than debt reduction, the rating impact may be muted, so monitor the company’s capital‑allocation announcements over the next 4‑6 weeks.