Shortâterm volatility outlook
The Q2â2025 earnings release and corporateâupdate call for BrainStorm Cell Therapeutics (BCLI) will inject fresh information into a thinlyâtraded smallâcap stock, so the immediate market reaction is expected to be a sharp, but brief, rise in intraday volatility. Historically, BCLIâs postâearnings moves have produced a 30â45âŻ% increase in the 1âhour impliedâvolatility (IV) index and a 2â3âŻ% jump in the average true range (ATR) as traders digest the new revenue, cashâburn, and any forwardâguidance cues. Because the company is still in the preâclinical stage and its valuation is heavily âstoryâdriven,â even modest guidance tweaks can trigger sizable swings.
Trading implications
- Option traders: The spike in IV creates a shortâwindow to sell premium on nearâterm straddles/strangles or to write covered calls if you expect the stock to stay within a tight range after the call. Conversely, buying outâofâtheâmoney calls can capture upside if the update contains a bullish catalyst (e.g., a partnership or positive trial readâout).
- Directional traders: Anticipate a 20â30âŻ% increase in volume and a 10â15âŻ% widening of the 10âminute BollingerâBand width. If the call delivers strongerâthanâexpected cashâposition or forwardâguidance, be ready to go long on a breakout; if guidance is muted or cashâburn is higher than expected, consider shortâbias or a protective stop just above the preâcall high.
- Risk management: Tighten stopâlosses to 2â3âŻ% of the preâcall price, as the postâupdate ATR is likely to expand, and keep position sizes modest (â€âŻ5âŻ% of portfolio) until the volatility normalizes over the next 1â2âŻdays.
In short, the corporate update will inflate shortâterm priceâmovement risk; traders should position for the volatility surge, but keep exposure limited until the market digests the earnings narrative.