How might the market react to the transition from Brett Harvey to van Beurden in terms of short‑term price movement? | B (Aug 11, 2025) | Candlesense

How might the market react to the transition from Brett Harvey to van Beurden in terms of short‑term price movement?

Short‑term market outlook

The appointment of Ben van Beurden—formerly Shell’s long‑running CEO—to the lead‑independent director seat is being read as a “governance upgrade” for Barrick. Van Beurden’s reputation for disciplined capital allocation and operational efficiency should lift the board’s credibility, especially after Brett Harvey’s long tenure. In a market that still values senior‑level pedigree, the news is likely to generate a modest, bullish bias in the next 1‑2 weeks rather than a dramatic swing.

Technical backdrop

Barrick’s shares have been trading in a tight 10‑day range around $33.50–$34.80, with the 20‑day SMA (≈$34.10) acting as a pivot. The daily chart shows a bullish flag forming on the 5‑day moving average, and volume has been above the 20‑day average for three consecutive sessions—signs of buying interest that can be amplified by the leadership news. If the market digests the appointment positively, we could see a breakout toward the next resistance at $35.20; a breach of $35.00 with accompanying volume would be a strong confirmation.

Trading implications

  • Entry: Look for a pull‑back to the 20‑day SMA (~$34.10) or the lower trend‑line of the flag (≈$33.70) on light‑to‑moderate volume. A bounce off these levels with a volume spike would be a clean “buy‑the‑dip” signal.
  • Target: $35.20–$35.40 (the next technical resistance on the daily chart) offers a 3–4 % upside from current levels.
  • Stop: Place a protective stop just below the recent low of $33.50 or the 20‑day SMA, whichever is tighter, to guard against a broader market sell‑off that could override the leadership catalyst.

In short, the market is likely to price in a modest upside as investors credit van Beurden’s experience, but the move will be bounded by existing technical constraints. A disciplined, short‑term “buy‑the‑dip” approach with tight stops can capture the upside while limiting exposure to any unexpected macro‑driven volatility.