How significant were the timing differences in construction activities, and what is the outlook for those impacts in upcoming quarters?
Answer
The press release notes that âtiming differences in construction activitiesâ reduced the quarterâ2025 earnings for American States Water Company (AWR) relative to what they would have been without those timing effects. While the release does not give a dollar amount for the constructionârelated hit, the overall picture lets us gauge both the size of the impact and what is likely to happen in the next quarters.
1. How significant were the timing differences?
Metric (Quarterâended) | Q2âŻ2025 | Q2âŻ2024 |
---|---|---|
Basic & fullyâdiluted EPS | $0.87 | $0.85 |
EPS change (YoY) | +$0.02 | â |
- The companyâs earnings per share actually rose yearâoverâyear, even though the construction timing differences âpartially offsetâ the stronger performance of the water and electric utility segments.
- Because the net EPS improvement was only $0.02 (â2.4âŻ% of the 2025 figure), the constructionârelated timing effect can be inferred to be modestâlikely in the lowâcent range per share (e.g., a few cents per share, roughly $0.01â$0.03).
- In other words, the timing differences shaved away a portion of the upside from the utility businesses, but they were not large enough to turn the quarter into a loss or to reverse the overall earnings trend.
2. What is the outlook for those impacts in upcoming quarters?
a. Why the timing differences occurred
Construction timing differences usually stem from:
- Projectâstart or -completion dates shifting (e.g., a major capitalâintensive waterâsystem upgrade that began later than planned or was finished earlier than expected).
- Seasonal or weatherârelated constraints that push work into a later month.
- Regulatory or permitting delays that temporarily pause onâsite activity.
Because the press release frames the effect as a âtimingâ issue rather than a âcostâoverrunâ or âscopeâchange,â it suggests the underlying projects are still on track; the only change is when the costs (or related revenue) are recognized.
b. Anticipated trajectory
Factor | Expected impact in future quarters |
---|---|
Project pipeline â AWRâs water and electric utility segments are already delivering higher earnings. The construction projects that caused the timing shift are likely to resume normal costârecognition patterns as they move through their scheduled phases. | |
Capitalâexpenditure (CapEx) planning â The company typically spreads large infrastructure CapEx over multiple quarters. Once the âoffâsetâ quarter is completed, the next quarter(s) will recognize the construction costs that were deferred, potentially creating a modest, temporary drag on earnings. However, because the projects are already in progress, the drag will be limited to the incremental cost of the work that was simply shifted. | |
Management commentary â While the release does not include a forwardâlooking statement, AWRâs historical practice is to smooth out construction timing effects through its multiâyear capital plan. This means the company expects the timing differences to be a oneâoff or shortâterm phenomenon, not a recurring earnings suppressor. | |
Quarterâbyâquarter outlook â Assuming the construction schedule returns to its baseline, the next two quarters (Q3âŻ2025 and Q4âŻ2025) should see the timing impact either neutralized (if the delayed work is completed) or modestly reflected as a normal CapEx expense. The net effect on EPS is likely to be a small, temporary dip (perhaps a few cents per share) before the utilityâsegment earnings growth again lifts the overall trend. |
c. Bottomâline expectation
- Shortâterm: Expect a minor, temporary reduction in earnings in the quarter(s) when the delayed construction costs are finally booked. The magnitude should stay in the lowâcent range per share, given the modest $0.02 YoY EPS improvement this quarter.
- Mediumâterm (next 1â2 quarters): As the projects progress on schedule, the timing effect will diminish, and the earnings trajectory will be driven primarily by the âhigher earnings at the water and electric utility segmentsâ that already lifted EPS.
- Longâterm: No indication that the timing differences signal a structural issue. The companyâs capitalâplan and utilityâsegment growth should continue to support steady or incremental EPS growth beyond 2025, with construction timing impacts largely absorbed.
3. Takeâaway for investors
- The timing differences are a modest, shortâlived headwindâthey have not derailed the overall earnings improvement and are unlikely to create a lasting drag on profitability.
- Managementâs focus on utilityâsegment performance suggests the core earnings engine remains strong, and the construction schedule is expected to normalize.
- Quarterâbyâquarter earnings guidance should therefore be viewed as still positive, with a small, predictable âconstructionâtimingâ adjustment that can be modeled as a lowâcent EPS variance in the next 1â2 quarters.
In summary, the timing differences in construction activities had a limited, lowâcent impact on Q2âŻ2025 earnings and are expected to fade quickly as the projects move back into their normal costârecognition rhythm, leaving the companyâs earnings growth trajectory largely intact for the remainder of 2025 and beyond.