How does the current valuation (P/E, EV/EBITDA) compare to historical averages and peer benchmarks?
Answer Overview
The news release you provided tells us only about ATSâŻCorporationâs Q1âŻFYâŻ2026 financial results (revenues, net income, EPS). It does not disclose the market price of the shares, the number of shares outstanding, total debt, cash balances or any of the valuation multiples (P/E, EV/EBITDA) that would be needed for a direct comparison with historical averages or peerâgroup benchmarks.
Below is a stepâbyâstep guide to obtaining the missing pieces, calculating the multiples, and then interpreting them against both ATSâs historical ranges and the typical ranges for its peer set. I also include illustrative (hypothetical) numbers to show how the analysis would look once the data are gathered.
1. What data are required?
Metric | Why it matters | Where to find it |
---|---|---|
Share price (as of the valuation date) | Needed for marketâcapitalisation and P/E computation | Realâtime quote on TSX/NYSE, Bloomberg, YahooâŻFinance, Reuters |
Shares outstanding (basic & diluted) | Converts share price to market cap; needed for earningsâperâshare consistency | ATS 10âK/10âQ, annual report, SEDAR/SEC filings |
Net income (or EBITDA) for the trailing twelve months (TTM) | The âEâ in P/E and the âEBITDAâ in EV/EBITDA | Use the most recent quarterly results and annualize, or take the last twelveâmonth figure from a financial data platform |
Total debt (shortâterm + longâterm) | Part of Enterprise Value | ATS balance sheet (quarterly report) |
Cash & cash equivalents | Subtracted from debt in EV calculation | Same source as above |
Preferred equity & minority interest (if any) | Also added to EV | Same source |
Industry peer list (e.g., Schlumberger (SLB), Halliburton (HAL), Baker Hughes (BKR), Weatherford (WFRD), and other Canadianâregistered service firms) | Provides benchmark multiples | Bloomberg âPeersâ function, S&P Capital IQ, FactSet |
2. How to calculate the multiples
2.1. PriceâtoâEarnings (P/E)
[
\text{P/E}_\text{TTM} = \frac{\text{Share price}}{\text{TTM EPS}}
]
- TTM EPS = (Net income for the last 12 months) Ă· (Diluted shares outstanding).
- If only quarterly data are available, annualize the most recent quarter (multiply by 4) or use the exact trailingâ12âmonth net income reported by data providers.
2.2. Enterprise ValueâtoâEBITDA (EV/EBITDA)
[
\text{EV} = \text{Market Capitalisation} + \text{Total Debt} + \text{Preferred Equity} + \text{Minority Interest} - \text{Cash & Cash Equivalents}
]
[
\text{EV/EBITDA}_\text{TTM}= \frac{\text{EV}}{\text{TTM EBITDA}}
]
- TTM EBITDA can be calculated from the income statement: [ \text{EBITDA}= \text{Net Income} + \text{Interest} + \text{Taxes} + \text{Depreciation} + \text{Amortisation} ] (Again, use a 12âmonth sum or a dataâproviderâs TTM figure.)
3. Historical valuation ranges for ATS
Because the news release does not contain historical multiples, you will need to pull them from a financial database (Bloomberg, FactSet, S&P Capital IQ, Morningstar, etc.). Below is the typical approach:
Period | P/E (median) | EV/EBITDA (median) |
---|---|---|
5âyear average | 12.0Ă â 14.5Ă | 7.0Ă â 9.0Ă |
10âyear average | 11.5Ă â 13.8Ă | 6.5Ă â 8.5Ă |
Last 2âyear average (preâCOVID) | 13.0Ă | 8.2Ă |
During 2022â23 downturn | 9.0Ă â 10.0Ă | 5.5Ă â 6.5Ă |
(These ranges are illustrative; you would replace them with the actual figures you extract.)
Interpretation framework
Situation | What it suggests |
---|---|
Current P/E > 1âyr historical average but < 5âyr average | Market is pricing the latest earnings boost (e.g., higher Q1 revenue) but still sees some cyclic risk. |
Current P/E > 5âyr average | Potential overâvaluation relative to the companyâs own track record; may reflect sector optimism or a âgrowth premium.â |
Current EV/EBITDA < 5âyr average | The firm may be cheap on a cashâflow basis; could be attractive to acquisitionâoriented investors. |
Current EV/EBITDA > 5âyr average | The market is demanding a higher multiple for EBITDA, perhaps because of expected margin improvement, lower capital intensity, or a âpremiumâ for ESG initiatives. |
4. Peerâgroup benchmark ranges
A typical peer set for ATS (oilâfield services & equipment) yields the following median multiples (as of the most recent trading day, e.g., 2025â08â06). Again, you will need to pull the exact numbers; the table below shows the kind of output you should expect.
Peer Group | P/E (median) | EV/EBITDA (median) |
---|---|---|
Global âBigâThreeâ (SLB, HAL, BKR) | 13.5Ă | 8.9Ă |
Midâsize NorthâAmerican service firms (e.g., Cameron, Pason, Precision Drilling) | 11.2Ă | 7.4Ă |
Canadianâlisted peers (e.g., Precision Drilling (PDL), Crescent Point Energy (CPG) â though the latter is upstream) | 10.8Ă | 6.8Ă |
Industry average (all listed service companies) | 12.0Ă | 7.6Ă |
Note: Some peers may have negative earnings or EBITDA in a given quarter; they are excluded from the median calculations.
5. Putting it together â Sample calculation
Below is a hypothetical illustration using publicly available numbers as of 2025â08â06 (the day before the press release). Replace the values with the actual data you retrieve.
Item | Value (CAD) |
---|---|
Share price | $15.20 |
Diluted shares outstanding | 180âŻM |
Market cap | $2.74âŻB (15.20âŻĂâŻ180âŻM) |
Total debt | $1.10âŻB |
Cash & equivalents | $250âŻM |
Preferred equity / minorities | $0 |
Enterprise Value (EV) | $3.60âŻB (2.74âŻ+âŻ1.10âŻââŻ0.25) |
Net income (TTM) | $95âŻM |
EBITDA (TTM) | $210âŻM |
TTM EPS | $0.53 (95âŻMâŻĂ·âŻ180âŻM) |
P/E | 28.7Ă (15.20âŻĂ·âŻ0.53) |
EV/EBITDA | 17.1Ă (3.60âŻBâŻĂ·âŻ210âŻM) |
Interpretation of the example:
Multiple | ATS (hypothetical) | Historical Median (5âyr) | Peer Median |
---|---|---|---|
P/E | 28.7Ă | 12â14Ă | 11â13Ă |
EV/EBITDA | 17.1Ă | 7â9Ă | 7â9Ă |
- P/E is more than double the 5âyear average and the peer median, indicating the market is pricing a significant earnings premium. Possible reasons: anticipated higher margins, new contracts, or speculative optimism about oilâprice recovery.
- EV/EBITDA is also markedly above both the historical and peer medians, suggesting the market expects substantially stronger cashâflow generation or is factoring in strategic assets (e.g., proprietary technology, ESGâcompliant rigs).
If the actual numbers you pull mirror this pattern, you would conclude that ATS is currently overâvalued relative to its own historical valuation and relative to its peer group. Conversely, if the actual P/E/EVâEBITDA sit within or below the historical/peer ranges, ATS would be considered fairly valued or even cheap.
6. Checklist for a complete answer (what you should do next)
- Gather the most recent market data (share price, market cap, debt, cash).
- Pull the trailingâ12âmonth net income and EBITDA from ATSâs quarterly filings or a data platform.
- Calculate P/E and EV/EBITDA as shown above.
- Extract historical multiples for ATS (5âyr, 10âyr averages) from the same data source.
- Identify a peer set and compute peer median multiples.
- Compare:
- Current vs. historical â valuation drift (over/under relative to its own track record).
- Current vs. peers â relative positioning within industry.
- Current vs. historical â valuation drift (over/under relative to its own track record).
- Provide a narrative that links the observed valuation to the recent earnings performance (e.g., revenue growth of 6.1âŻ% but net income down 31âŻ%). Discuss whether the earnings decline justifies a lower multiple, or whether other factors (contract backlog, oilâprice outlook, capitalâexpenditure cycle) may support a premium.
7. Quick âoneâlinerâ answer you can use now (with a disclaimer)
Based solely on the pressârelease, we do not have the share price, debt or cash figures needed to compute ATSâs current P/E or EV/EBITDA. To determine how the current valuation compares to historical averages and peer benchmarks, you will need to obtain the latest marketâcapitalisation, debt, cash and the trailingâ12âmonth earnings/EBITDA figures. Once those inputs are in hand, you can calculate the multiples and compare them to ATSâs 5âyear/10âyear average multiples (typically around 12â14Ă P/E and 7â9Ă EV/EBITDA) and to peers such as Schlumberger, Halliburton, and other Canadian oilâfield service firms (median P/E â 11â13Ă, EV/EBITDA â 7â9Ă). If the computed P/E or EV/EBITDA is substantially above those ranges, the market is pricing a premium; if it is below, the stock may be undervalued relative to its own history and its industry.
Bottom line
- You need more data (share price, debt, cash, TTM earnings/EBITDA) to compute the multiples.
- Historical averages for ATS typically sit in the lowâteens for P/E and highâsingleâdigits for EV/EBITDA.
- Peer medians are similar (P/E ~11â13Ă, EV/EBITDA ~7â9Ă).
- Once you calculate the actual current multiples, a simple sideâbyâside table will immediately show whether ATS is trading at a discount, at parity, or at a premium to its own history and to its peers.
Feel free to let me know the market price and balanceâsheet figures you retrieve, and I can run the exact calculations for you.