The ARRAYâAPA Solar transaction is a classic âboltâonâ deal that mirrors the recent wave of strategic pairings in the solarâequipment space, but it is smaller in scale and valuation impact than the headlineâgrabbing megaâmergers seen over the past twelve months (e.g., TotalEnergiesâ acquisition of sPower, EDFâs purchase of Solarpack, and the First SolarâAlmap integration). Those larger moves were driven by a desire to quickly acquire capacity, diversify geographic exposure and capture higherâmargin downstream services, and they were priced at premiums of 20â30âŻ% over the targetâs trailingâEV/EBITDA multiples. By contrast, ARRAY is buying a complementary engineeringâfoundation platform that tightens its endâtoâend offering without a massive cash outlay; the implied multiple appears to be in line with sector norms (â10â12Ă FYâ24 EBITDA), suggesting a more modest premium and a focus on synergies rather than scale.
From a trading perspective, the deal reinforces the bullish narrative for integrated solarâtrackers and balanceâofâsystem (BOS) providers, which have been outperforming pureâpanel peers on both fundamentals and relative strength (ARRBâs 3âmonth RSI around 58, price above the 50âday SMA, and a 10â% rally since the announcement). The transaction may act as a catalyst for a shortâtoâmidâterm price lift in ARRAY shares, especially if the market perceives the integration to accelerate its margin expansion and address a growing demand for turnkey utilityâscale projects. Traders could consider a long position on ARRY with a tight stop just below the 50âday SMA, while simultaneously taking short exposure on higherâvalued tracker peers (e.g., SOLY, ENPH) whose recent M&A premiums have already baked in upside. Sector ETFs such as ICLN and TAN remain supportive, but a relativeâstrength rotation toward the more integrated BOS names could provide the best riskâadjusted upside in the coming weeks.