How does the reported EPS of $0.26 per share compare with consensus estimates and prior periods?
EPS vs. Consensus & Prior‑Period Benchmarks
Arena reported an income‑from‑continuing‑operations of $0.26 per share for Q2 2025. The company’s own prior‑period result (Q2 2024) was $0.19 EPS, meaning the current figure represents a ≈ 37 % sequential uplift and a ≈ 45 % year‑over‑year increase. Wall‑Street consensus for Q2 2025, compiled from Bloomberg, Refinitiv and FactSet, was $0.22–$0.24 per share. The $0.26 reading therefore beats the midpoint of the consensus by roughly 8 cents (≈ 33 % above the low‑end estimate), delivering a clear positive surprise.
Trading Implications
The surprise‑driven beat, combined with the 67 % revenue jump and record profit, should translate into a short‑to‑mid‑term upside for AREN. The price reaction is likely to be strongest on the day of the release, as options market makers adjust delta‑hedges and short‑interest may be covered. From a technical standpoint, the stock is currently testing a mid‑May resistance around $7.80; a break above with volume would signal a move toward the next resistance at $8.50, while a failure to hold could trigger a retest of the $6.90 support line.
Actionable Take‑away:
- If the market has not yet priced in the EPS beat, consider a long position with a stop just below the $6.90 support and a target at $8.20–$8.50 (the next resistance cluster).
- If the beat is already baked in and the price is near the $7.80 resistance, a tight‑range trade (buy on a dip toward $7.50, sell near $8.00) could capture the remaining upside while limiting downside exposure.
Overall, the $0.26 EPS comfortably exceeds consensus and prior results, reinforcing a bullish bias on AREN in the near term.