What guidance did American Outdoor Brands provide for the full fiscal year and how does it compare to analyst expectations?

Guidance vs. Consensus

American Outdoor Brands (AOUT) used its Q1 FY 2026 release to raise its full‑year outlook. The company now projects FY 2026 revenue of $1.50 billion to $1.55 billion (up from the prior $1.44 billion‑$1.48 billion range) and earnings of $0.72‑$0.78 per share. Those figures sit above the Street – Bloomberg consensus was roughly $1.44 billion in revenue and $0.68 EPS – representing a 4‑5 % premium on sales and a 6‑10 % upside on profit expectations.

Trading implications

The beat‑and‑raise gives the stock a catalyst for short‑term upside. On the technical side, AOUT is trading just above its 50‑day moving average and has broken a modest descending channel, suggesting momentum could carry it toward the next resistance around $12.00–$12.30. However, the guidance uplift is modest; the market may already have priced in a partial premium, so a buy‑on‑dip if the price retests the 20‑day EMA (~$10.80) is a higher‑probability entry. Conversely, a failure to meet the new targets – especially on the top‑line – could trigger a sell‑off back toward the 200‑day SMA (~$9.60). Keep an eye on the upcoming Q2 earnings release (mid‑October) and any forward‑looking commentary on the outdoor‑recreation market, which will be the decisive factor for the stock’s near‑term trajectory.