Allegations under investigation
Pomerantz LLPâs investigation centers on a set of securitiesâfraudârelated claims that investors allege Altimmune, Inc. (NASDAQâŻALT) made to the market. The core accusations are that Altimmune:
- Misrepresented or omitted material information about the companyâs clinicalâtrial results, regulatory outlook and the commercial potential of its mRNAâbased therapeutics.
- Inflated or overstated financial metricsâincluding revenue forecasts and cashâburn projectionsâthrough selective disclosure or optimistic press releases that did not reflect the underlying data.
- Engaged in selective or âcherryâpickedâ reporting that gave a misleading picture of the companyâs operating performance, thereby violating the antiâfraud provisions of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (RuleâŻ10bâ5).
These allegations suggest that Altimmune may have knowingly provided investors with false or incomplete material facts, leading to inflated share prices and subsequent losses when the true data surfaced.
Trading implications
If the investigation uncovers material misstatements, the stock could face a sharp corrective move once the market digests any adverse findings or potential settlement costs. Historically, biotech stocks hit by securitiesâfraud probes experience a 15â30âŻ% drop on the first major disclosure, followed by heightened volatility as analysts reâprice the risk of regulatory setbacks and litigation exposure. From a technical standpoint, ALT is currently trading near its recent 20âday moving average (ââŻ$4.12) with the price hovering just above a key resistance at $4.25; a breach below the 20âday average would signal the start of a downside breakout. Conversely, a strong defensive rallyâholding above the 50âday moving average (~$4.45) and the $4.25 resistanceâcould indicate that the market is pricing in a limited impact from the probe.
Actionable view
- Shortâtoâcover or defensive put: For riskâaverse traders, consider a shortâposition or buying outâofâtheâmoney puts (e.g., $3.80 strike) to capture potential downside if the investigation yields negative material findings.
- Longâbias with a tight stop: If you view the allegations as primarily a âinvestorâclassâ action with limited impact on core operations, a modest long position with a stop just below the 20âday moving average (~$4.00) could profit from a bounce off the $4.25 resistance, especially if the company releases clarifying data that mitigates the fraud narrative.
Overall, the key driver will be the substance of any forthcoming disclosuresâwatch for SEC filings, press releases, or court filings in the next 4â6âŻweeksâfor the first clear signal on the magnitude of the market reaction.