Could the lawsuit trigger a material adverse event (MAE) clause in any of Altimmune's debt covenants or loan agreements?
Short answer â unlikely to be an automatic MAE trigger, but it could become a reportingâevent under the covenants.
Altimmuneâs existing credit facilities most probably contain a âmaterial adverse changeâ (MAC) or âmaterial adverse eventâ (MAE) clause that is triggered only when a event materially impairs the companyâs financial condition, cashâflow generation, or overall business (e.g., bankruptcy, liquidation, a regulatory shutdown, or a default on a major loan). A securitiesâfraud classâaction, by itself, is generally viewed as a legalârisk event rather than a financialârisk event. Until the suit produces a judgment, settlement, or other liability that threatens Altimmuneâs ability to meet its debt service obligations, the covenant language is unlikely to deem the filing a MAC/MAE.
That said, most loan agreements require the borrower to disclose any âmaterial eventâ that could affect its ability to service the debt within a prescribed notice period. The Berger Montague investigation and the pending classâaction will almost certainly be disclosed in the next 10âQ or 8âK filing, and the lenders may request a waiver or a covenantâcompliance certificate. In practice, the lawsuit will be treated as a reporting event rather than an immediate default, but if the case escalates to a sizable judgment or forces the company to liquidate assets, the covenant could be reâevaluated and potentially breached.
Trading implications â The filing adds a nearâterm legalârisk premium, which has already pushed ALTâs sentiment into the negative (â70). Expect modestâtoâmoderate volatility on the upside/downside as the market prices the probability of a material financial impact. Until a concrete liability emerges, the risk of a covenant breach remains low to moderate; therefore, a shortâposition should be sized with a stop that protects against a sudden downgrade or defaultâevent news flow, while a longâbias could still be justified if the companyâs fundamentals (pipeline, cashâbalance, and upcoming milestones) remain intact.