Guidance Overview
Allos S.A. used its 2Q 2025 earnings release to set a clear outlook for the balance of the year. The company reaffirmed that it expects full‑year 2025 revenue to grow in the high‑double‑digit percentage range, driven by the same mix of organic expansion and strategic acquisitions that delivered a 7.1 % increase in Same‑Store Sales (SSS), a 7.7 % rise in Services‑Store Revenue (SSR), and a 9 % jump in FFOPS in the quarter. Management also highlighted a target EBITDA margin of roughly 18‑19 % for FY 2025, up from the 16 % level recorded in 2024, and indicated that capital‑expenditure will stay in the R$ 300‑350 million range to fund new store openings and technology upgrades.
Trading Implications
The guidance signals that Allos is positioning itself for a continued earnings acceleration as the Brazilian consumer market recovers and discretionary spend rises. The high‑double‑digit revenue outlook, combined with an expanding EBITDA margin, should support a mid‑term re‑rating of the stock by buy‑side analysts, especially if the company meets its capex discipline. From a technical perspective, Allos is trading near its 50‑day moving average with a bullish “cup‑with‑handle” formation on the daily chart—a pattern that historically precedes a 8‑12 % upside move when fundamental catalysts materialize. Traders could consider a long‑biased position on pull‑backs to the 50‑day MA, targeting a 10‑15 % upside to the next resistance level around R$ 30. Conversely, a break below the 50‑day MA with volume could trigger a short‑term stop‑loss, as it would indicate that the market is questioning the company’s ability to deliver its 2025 growth targets.