How does the 7.8% overall sales growth compare to FY24 guidance and analyst expectations? | AKA (Aug 06, 2025) | Candlesense

How does the 7.8% overall sales growth compare to FY24 guidance and analyst expectations?

Answer

The press‑release you quoted tells us that a.k.a. Brands Holding Corp. (NYSE: AKA) posted net‑sales growth of 7.8% in the second quarter of 2025 (Q2 2025) versus the same quarter a year earlier, and that the growth is 9.5% on a constant‑currency basis. It also notes a 13.7% sales increase in the United U.S. segment.

However, the release does not provide any of the following pieces of information that would let us directly compare the 7.8% increase to:

  1. FY 2024 guidance that the company gave to investors (e.g., a target range for total 2024 net‑sales, a expected YoY growth rate, or a quarterly‑by‑quarter outlook).
  2. Analyst consensus expectations for FY 2024 sales (e.g., the average sales growth forecast published by Bloomberg, Refinitiv, FactSet, or other sell‑side research houses).

Because those reference points are missing, we cannot state definitively whether the 7.8% Q2 2025 growth is above, in line with, or below the company’s FY 2024 guidance or the analyst community’s prior expectations.


What we can infer (and what you would need to confirm)

Item Information from the release What you would still need to know
FY 2024 guidance Not disclosed in the release. Companies typically issue FY guidance in earnings calls, investor presentations, or Form 10‑K filings. The specific sales‑growth target (e.g., “we expect FY 2024 net sales to grow 5‑8% YoY”) or a dollar‑amount range for FY 2024 net sales.
Analyst expectations Not mentioned. Analyst forecasts are compiled by data‑vendors (e.g., Bloomberg, Refinitiv) and are often reported in the “Consensus Estimate” section of earnings previews. The consensus estimate for FY 2024 net‑sales growth (e.g., “analysts expect FY 2024 net sales to rise 6%”).
Comparison 7.8% Q2 2025 growth (9.5% constant‑currency) and 13.7% U.S. growth. Whether 7.8% exceeds the FY 2024 guidance/analyst forecast, or whether it signals an acceleration/deceleration relative to prior expectations.

If the FY 2024 guidance had, for example, projected net‑sales growth of 5‑7% YoY, then a 7.8% increase in Q2 2025 would be ahead of that guidance (and likely ahead of analyst consensus if analysts were expecting a similar 5‑6% rise). Conversely, if the FY 2024 guidance had been 8%‑10% YoY, the 7.8% Q2 increase would be slightly below the guidance, suggesting the company is falling a bit short of its own expectations.


How to obtain the missing data

  1. Company FY 2024 guidance

    • Look at the most recent earnings call transcript (often posted on the company’s investor‑relations site) for any “Guidance” slide.
    • Review the Form 10‑K for FY 2024 (or the FY 2023 filing if FY 2024 guidance was given in the prior year).
    • Check any press releases titled “FY 2024 Outlook” or “2024 Guidance”.
  2. Analyst consensus expectations

    • Use a financial data platform (Bloomberg, Refinitiv, FactSet, S&P Capital IQ) to pull the “Consensus Estimate – Net Sales” for FY 2024.
    • Look at sell‑side research reports (e.g., from Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, BMO) that often summarize the consensus view in the “Earnings Outlook” section.
    • Some news wires (e.g., Reuters, Yahoo! Finance) publish a “Analyst Expectations” table alongside earnings releases.
  3. Historical context

    • Compare the 7.8% Q2 2025 growth to Q2 2024 growth (which was flat or negative, if known) to gauge momentum.
    • Examine seasonality: a.k.a. Brands may have higher U.S. sales in the second half of the year, so the 13.7% U.S. increase could be a key driver that analysts had already factored in.

Bottom line

  • The 7.8% overall sales growth is a factual result for Q2 2025.
  • Without the FY 2024 guidance figures or analyst consensus forecasts, we cannot definitively state how this growth compares to those benchmarks.
  • To answer the question fully, you’ll need to retrieve the FY 2024 guidance and analyst expectations from the company’s investor communications or a financial data provider.

If you can supply those missing numbers, I can immediately calculate the variance (e.g., “Growth was 1.8 percentage points above the company’s FY 2024 guidance of 6% and 0.5 points above the analyst consensus of 7.3%”). Until then, the comparison remains indeterminate.