Management’s Outlook
Q3 2025 (the quarter ending September 30, 2025):
- Revenue: $115 million to $120 million.
- Adjusted EPS: $0.12 to $0.13 per share.
- Revenue: $115 million to $120 million.
Full‑year 2025:
- Revenue: $460 million to $470 million.
- Adjusted EPS: $0.45 to $0.48 per share.
- Revenue: $460 million to $470 million.
Trading Implications
The Q3 and FY 2025 guidance sits above the consensus forecasts that had been tracking roughly $110 million in Q3 revenue and $0.42 EPS for the year. The upside in both top‑line and bottom‑line expectations suggests a positive earnings surprise potential, which is already being priced in on the upside of the chart. Technically, AGAE is holding the 50‑day moving average and has broken above a short‑term resistance band near the $7.00 level, indicating room for further upside if the company delivers on its guidance.
Actionable take‑away:
- Long side: Consider adding to positions on pull‑backs toward the $7.00‑$7.30 range, targeting a breakout toward $8.00–$8.50 as the market digests the higher‑than‑expected guidance.
- Risk management: Keep a stop just below the 50‑day moving average (~$6.70) to protect against any unexpected macro‑headwinds or a missed Q3 beat.
Overall, the raised guidance provides a bullish catalyst for the next two quarters, and the stock’s price action reflects that optimism. Maintaining a disciplined entry on lower‑risk pull‑backs should capture the upside while limiting downside exposure.