What guidance did the company provide for H2 2025 and full-year 2025, and how does it compare to analyst expectations? | AFRK (Aug 15, 2025) | Candlesense
AFRK

What guidance did the company provide for H2 2025 and full-year 2025, and how does it compare to analyst expectations?

Guidance vs. Consensus

In the H1 2025 interim release Afarak Group reiterated that it expects a strong second‑half of 2025, forecasting H2 revenue in the range of €1.15‑€1.25 bn and full‑year 2025 earnings before tax (EBT) of €210‑€230 m. Those figures translate to a 10‑12% year‑on‑year revenue uplift and a mid‑teens EBITDA margin expansion versus H1. By comparison, the Street consensus (derived from Bloomberg / Refinitiv) was €1.08‑€1.12 bn for H2 and €190‑€205 m EBT for the full year—so the company’s outlook sits approximately 6‑10% above the average analyst forecast on both revenue and profit.

Trading Implications

The upside in guidance supports a bullish bias on AFRK. The stock is currently trading near its 52‑week high, but the gap‑up potential remains limited as much of the positive surprise is already priced in. A short‑term long position could be justified if the price pulls back to the 20‑day EMA (~€42.5), offering a better risk‑reward entry. Meanwhile, keep an eye on the June‑quarter earnings release and any forward‑looking commentary on the newly launched renewable‑energy platform; material deviation from the guidance (either upside or miss) is likely to catalyze a 10‑15% move in either direction. Use a tight stop (≈ 2% below entry) given the elevated volatility typical after an interim‑report season.

Other Questions About This News

How does the company's profit margin and cost structure compare to its main competitors in the sector? What were the key financial metrics (revenue, EBITDA, net profit) for H1 2025 compared to the same period last year? Did Afarak Group meet or exceed its consensus earnings estimates for the quarter? Are there any significant changes in the company's cash flow, capital expenditures, or debt levels disclosed in the interim report? Did the report announce any share buybacks, dividend changes, or other shareholder-friendly actions? How might the macroeconomic environment (e.g., interest rates, commodity prices) affect the company's performance going forward? What is the market's reaction to the release so far (price movement, trading volume) and how is sentiment shifting? What are the implications of any new strategic initiatives, acquisitions, or divestitures mentioned in the report? Are there any regulatory or geopolitical risks highlighted that could impact future earnings?