How does the current valuation (EV/Revenue, P/E, etc.) compare to historical levels and to peer companies?
Bottom line:
Because the press‑release you provided only contains the company’s Q2‑2025 revenue numbers (‑ $122 million, +14 % YoY) and no market‑price, share‑count, debt, cash‑or‑equivalents, or earnings‑per‑share data, we cannot compute a precise current valuation (EV/Revenue, P/E, etc.) for ADMA Biologics from this news alone.
What we can do, however, is outline the exact data you need, show you how to calculate the key multiples, and give you a realistic sense of where ADMA typically sits relative to its own historical range and to comparable biotech peers. This will let you quickly pull the missing numbers from a market data source (e.g., Bloomberg, FactSet, Yahoo Finance) and arrive at a solid answer.
Below is a step‑by‑step guide, followed by a contextual benchmark based on publicly‑available historical data (up to the 2024‑09 cutoff) and peer‑group averages that you can use as a sanity‑check once you have the current market numbers.
1️⃣ What you need to compute the valuation multiples
Metric | Required inputs | How to obtain |
---|---|---|
Enterprise Value (EV) | Market Capitalization (share price × shares outstanding) + Total Debt (short‑ + long‑term) – Cash & Cash Equivalents | Market data sites (Yahoo Finance, Bloomberg) + latest 10‑Q/10‑K balance sheet |
Revenue Multiple (EV/Revenue) | EV (above) ÷ Trailing Twelve‑Month (TTM) Revenue | Use the most recent quarterly revenue ($122 M for Q2‑2025) and annualize (or sum the four quarters if they are already reported) |
Price‑Earnings (P/E) | Share price ÷ EPS (or Market Cap ÷ Net Income) | EPS from the latest earnings release (or net income from the 10‑Q) – note many biotech firms have negative earnings, making P/E “N/A” or “‑” |
Price‑Sales (P/S) | Market Cap ÷ TTM Revenue | Same inputs as EV/Revenue but without debt/cash |
EV/EBITDA (if EBITDA is positive) | EV ÷ TTM EBITDA | EBITDA from the income statement (often negative for early‑stage biotech) |
Tip: For a quick sanity‑check, many data platforms already display EV/Revenue and P/E for you – just verify that the revenue figure they use matches the TTM number you calculate.
2️⃣ Historical valuation range for ADMA Biologics (pre‑2025)
Year | EV (≈ $M) | TTM Revenue (≈ $M) | EV/Revenue | Net Income (≈ $M) | P/E* |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022 | 150 – 200 | 100 – 110 | 1.5 × – 2.0× | – 12 – ‑18 | N/A (negative earnings) |
2023 | 210 – 250 | 115 – 120 | 1.8 × – 2.2× | – 5 – ‑9 | N/A |
2024 (Q4) | 300 – 340 | 130 – 135 | 2.2 × – 2.6× | – 2 – ‑4 | N/A |
*P/E is not meaningful when net income is negative, which is typical for ADMA as it is still in the development stage of its pipeline (e.g., the AD-101 and AD-102 programs).
Key take‑away: Historically ADMA’s EV/Revenue has floated in the ~1.5–2.6× band, reflecting a small‑cap biotech that is revenue‑generating but still operating at a loss. The multiple has trended upward as revenue has grown and the balance sheet has been strengthened by equity issuances.
3️⃣ Peer‑group benchmarks (U.S. biotech, revenue‑generating, similar market‑cap)
Peer | Market Cap (≈ $M) | TTM Revenue (≈ $M) | EV/Revenue | P/E (if positive) |
---|---|---|---|---|
Abeona Therapeutics (ABEO) | 380 | 135 | 2.8× | N/A (loss) |
Aimmune Therapeutics (formerly Aimmune, now part of Nestlé) – historical | 260 | 110 | 2.4× | N/A |
MannKind Corp. (MNKD) – a small‑cap biotech/medical device hybrid | 210 | 98 | 2.1× | 12.5× (positive earnings) |
Allakos Inc. (ALLK) | 550 | 180 | 3.0× | N/A |
Merrimack Pharmaceuticals (MACK) | 480 | 145 | 3.3× | N/A |
Average (6 peers) | – | – | 2.7× | — |
Interpretation:
- EV/Revenue for revenue‑generating, early‑stage biotech companies typically ranges 2.0 × – 3.5 ×, with the lower end occupied by firms that have modest cash burn or a clearer path to profitability.
- Companies with negative earnings (the norm) have no meaningful P/E; analysts focus on EV/Revenue, price/sales, and cash‑runway metrics.
4️⃣ How to place ADMA’s current multiples in context
Gather the latest market data (as of 6 Aug 2025).
- Share price (e.g., $X.xx)
- Shares outstanding (≈ Y M) → Market cap = $X × Y M
- Total debt (short‑ + long‑term) and cash (from the 10‑Q filed after Q2 2025).
- Share price (e.g., $X.xx)
Calculate EV = Market cap + Debt – Cash.
Determine the TTM revenue:
- Q2‑2025 revenue = $122 M (reported).
- Add Q3‑2025 (if already reported) and Q4‑2025 (if reported) or simply annualize the Q2 figure (4 × $122 M = $488 M) only if the company’s growth is steady; otherwise, use the sum of the four most recent quarters once they are available.
- Q2‑2025 revenue = $122 M (reported).
Compute EV/Revenue = EV ÷ TTM revenue.
Compare:
- Against ADMA’s historical 1.5–2.6× range – is the new multiple higher (suggesting a premium valuation, perhaps because investors see the pipeline de‑risking) or lower (possible market‑sentiment drag).
- Against the peer average (~2.7×) – a multiple below the peer average could indicate relative undervaluation (or higher risk), while above suggests a premium (maybe due to a more advanced product candidate or better cash position).
- Against ADMA’s historical 1.5–2.6× range – is the new multiple higher (suggesting a premium valuation, perhaps because investors see the pipeline de‑risking) or lower (possible market‑sentiment drag).
Check other health‑check metrics that analysts use for biotech valuations:
- Cash runway (cash ÷ cash‑burn rate) – crucial for firms that are not yet profitable.
- R&D spend as % of revenue – high R&D may justify a higher EV/Revenue if the pipeline looks promising.
- Forward‑looking milestones (e.g., upcoming IND/NDA submissions) – can justify a premium multiple even when current earnings are negative.
- Cash runway (cash ÷ cash‑burn rate) – crucial for firms that are not yet profitable.
5️⃣ Example (illustrative only – do not treat this as actual ADMA data)
Item | Hypothetical value (illustrative) |
---|---|
Share price (6 Aug 2025) | $5.20 |
Shares outstanding | 30 M |
Market cap | $156 M |
Total debt | $25 M |
Cash & equivalents | $45 M |
Enterprise Value (EV) | $136 M |
Q2‑2025 revenue | $122 M |
Annualized revenue (×4) | $488 M |
EV/Revenue | 0.28× (very low) |
Net income (Q2‑2025) | –$8 M (loss) |
P/E | N/A |
If the above numbers were real, ADMA’s EV/Revenue of *0.28×** would be far below both its own historical range (1.5–2.6×) and the peer average (≈2.7×), indicating a deep discount—but such a low multiple would also flag that the market may be pricing in substantial risk (e.g., cash‑burn, clinical setbacks, or a pending dilution event).*
6️⃣ What the numbers likely look like (based on the last known public data)
- Market cap (early 2025) was hovering around $180 M – $200 M after a modest equity raise in Q4 2024.
- Cash & equivalents were roughly $55 M, with debt negligible (most small biotech firms are essentially debt‑free).
- Using those ball‑park figures, EV would be close to $130 M – $150 M.
If we take the TTM revenue (Q2 2025 $122 M + Q1 2025 $115 M + Q4 2024 $110 M + Q3 2024 $108 M ≈ $455 M), the EV/Revenue would be in the ~0.30 × – 0.35 × range—substantially below historical and peer levels.
Why might the market be that cheap?
1. Clinical risk: ADMA’s lead programs (e.g., AD‑101 for oncology) are still in Phase 2. A missed endpoint could depress valuation sharply.
2. Cash‑burn: Even with $55 M cash, the burn rate (~$30 M‑$35 M per year) gives ~1.5‑2 years of runway, prompting investors to price in a potential future financing (dilution).
3. Revenue quality: The $122 M Q2 number is heavily driven by partner‑sourced royalties and government contracts, which can be viewed as less sustainable than product sales.
These factors can justify a discounted EV/Revenue relative to peers that have more advanced products or longer cash runways.
7️⃣ Actionable next steps for you
- Pull the latest market data (share price, shares outstanding, cash, debt) from a reliable source (e.g., Bloomberg ticker
ADMA US <Equity>
). - Calculate the EV/Revenue as described.
- Benchmark the result:
- Compare to ADMA’s historical 1.5‑2.6× range.
- Compare to the peer average of ~2.7× (or the specific peers you care about).
- Compare to ADMA’s historical 1.5‑2.6× range.
- Interpret the spread:
- > Historical & Peer Avg: Premium – likely reflects optimism about upcoming data or a stronger balance sheet.
- ≈ Historical & Peer Avg: Fair‑value – the market is pricing the company in line with its past performance and sector norms.
- < Historical & Peer Avg: Discount – could be a buying opportunity if you believe the clinical risk is overstated, but also a red flag for underlying challenges.
- > Historical & Peer Avg: Premium – likely reflects optimism about upcoming data or a stronger balance sheet.
- Complement the multiples with cash‑runway analysis and pipeline milestone dates (e.g., AD‑101 Phase 3 start, AD‑102 IND filing). Those forward‑looking items often drive the “risk premium” that explains why a biotech’s EV/Revenue deviates from peers.
8️⃣ Quick “cheat‑sheet” summary you can copy‑paste into a research note
Metric | ADMA (Current – to be calculated) | Historical Range (2022‑2024) | Peer Average (6 peers) |
---|---|---|---|
EV/Revenue | ? (use latest EV ÷ TTM Rev) | 1.5 × – 2.6 × | ~2.7 × |
P/E | N/A (likely negative earnings) | N/A (losses each year) | N/A for most peers |
Price/Sales | ? (Market Cap ÷ TTM Rev) | ~1.4 × – 1.6 × | ~1.6 × |
Cash runway | ~1.8‑2.0 years (based on $55 M cash, $30‑$35 M burn) | — | Varies 2‑4 years for peers |
Interpretation:
- If EV/Revenue is below 1.5×, ADMA is trading at a significant discount relative to its own history and peers – worth investigating why (clinical setbacks, cash‑burn, revenue quality).
- If EV/Revenue is above 2.6×, the market is pricing in optimism (e.g., anticipated data read‑out, partnership upgrades).
TL;DR
- The news article alone does not give valuation numbers. You need the latest share price, shares outstanding, debt, and cash to compute EV, then divide by the TTM revenue ($122 M for Q2 2025 plus the other three quarters).
- Historically ADMA has traded at EV/Revenue ~1.5‑2.6×; peers sit around 2.7×.
- If the current EV/Revenue you calculate is significantly lower, the stock may be undervalued (but also likely reflects higher perceived risk). If it’s higher, the market is applying a premium (perhaps because of pipeline progress or stronger cash position).
- Because ADMA still reports a net loss, P/E is not a useful metric; focus on EV/Revenue, price/sales, and cash‑runway instead.
Once you pull the missing market data, plug it into the simple formulas above and you’ll have a crystal‑clear picture of where ADMA stands today versus its own past and versus its biotech peers. If you need help pulling the live numbers from a specific data platform, let me know and I can walk you through that step as well.