The secondaryâmarket float will rise sharply once the $75âŻmillion offering (plus the 30âday underâwriter option for another $11.25âŻmillion) is priced and sold. By adding roughly 86âŻ%â100âŻ% more shares to the tradable pool, the dailyâaverage volume that can be absorbed without moving the price expands, so liquidity improves. Higher float means market participants â especially institutional and algorithmic traders â can execute larger blocks with less impact, which typically narrows the bidâask spread as more marketâmakers are willing to post tighter quotes on a deeper order book.
However, the spread compression is not automatic. In the shortârun the new supply can overwhelm existing demand, prompting a temporary widening as dealers rebalance inventory and price the offering at a discount to the preâoffering market. If the offering is priced at a meaningful discount (common in secondary offerings), the postâoffering price may settle lower, and the spread could stay wider until the market digests the dilution and establishes a new equilibrium. Technicals will likely show a breakout to the downside on the first few days, followed by a reâestablishment of a tighter range once the new float is fully absorbed.
Trading takeâaways
1. Preâoffering: Anticipate modest upward pressure on the spread and a slight premium on the order book as investors position for the new issuance. Consider a shortâterm buyâtheâdip if you expect the discount to be modest and the market to reâprice quickly.
2. Postâoffering: Monitor the spread and depth on the LevelâŻ2 book. If the spread narrows and volume holds steady, you can add to long positions or use tighterâpriced limit orders. If the spread remains wide and volume is thin, stay on the sidelines or use tight stopâlosses until liquidity stabilises.
In short, the increased float should ultimately enhance liquidity and compress the bidâask spread, but the transition period may feature temporary spread widening and price volatility that traders should manage with careful orderâflow monitoring and disciplined risk controls.