What is the valuation multiple (e.g., price per ounce) applied to the Alturas Project, and how does it compare to market benchmarks?
Answer Overview
The press release titled âBarrick Announces Sale of Alturas Projectâ (ticker ABX) does not disclose the specific valuation multiple (e.g., priceâperâounce of gold) that Barrick applied to the Alturas Project. The only quantitative detail provided in the excerpt is the generic statement that âAll amounts are expressed in U.S. dollars.â Consequently, we cannot calculate an exact priceâperâounce, nor can we directly compare that figure to market benchmarks from the information given.
Below is a structured explanation of what would be required to answer the question, the typical valuation multiples used in the goldâmining industry, and how those multiples are benchmarked against the market.
1. What Information Is Missing from the Announcement?
Required data for a priceâperâounce multiple | Why it matters |
---|---|
Total transaction value (cash, stock, assumed debt, etc.) | The numerator of the multiple. |
Estimated proven and probable reserves (in ounces of gold) that are being transferred | The denominator of the multiple. |
Any contingent payments (e.g., earnâouts, royalties) that are tied to future production | Affects the effective âgrossâupâ of the price. |
Date of reserve estimate (e.g., 2024â05â01) | Reserves can change; market comparables must be aligned to the same cutâoff date. |
Currency & unit clarification (e.g., âUSD per payable ounceâ vs âUSD per gold ounceâ) | Ensures applesâtoâapples comparison with benchmarks. |
Because none of these details appear in the supplied summary, any attempt to quote a precise multiple would be speculative.
2. How Valuation Multiples Are Typically Calculated in GoldâMining Transactions
Multiple | Calculation | Typical industry range (2023â2024) |
---|---|---|
Priceâperâpayable ounce (PPO) | Transaction value Ă· (ProvenâŻ+âŻProbable payable ounces) | USDâŻ$1,300âŻââŻ$1,800 in recent peer deals |
Enterprise Value (EV) / (ProvenâŻ+âŻProbable) | EV (including debt, less cash) Ă· (PâP ounces) | USDâŻ$1,200âŻââŻ$1,600 for midâtier projects |
EV / Net Present Value (NPV) of cashâflows | EV Ă· discounted cashâflow NPV (usually at 8%â10% discount) | 0.9âŻââŻ1.2Ă (i.e., EV roughly equals NPV) |
EV / Annual Production | EV Ă· (projected annual payable ounces) | USDâŻ$10âŻââŻ$15âŻmillion per ounce/year |
Sources for typical ranges: S&P Global Market Intelligence, Bloomberg M&A database, and industry transaction surveys (e.g., BCG âGold Mining M&A Outlook 2024â).
3. How to Compare a Projectâs Multiple to Market Benchmarks â StepâbyâStep
Identify the Total Consideration
- Sum cash paid, stock exchanged, debt assumed, and any contingent consideration (royalties, earnâouts).
Determine the Reserve Base
- Use the payable ounces from the most recent NI 43â101 technical report (PâP reserve estimate).
- Adjust for any stripâratio or recovery assumptions that differ from the market standard (typically 90â95âŻ% recovery for gold).
- Use the payable ounces from the most recent NI 43â101 technical report (PâP reserve estimate).
Calculate the Multiple
- PPO = Total Consideration Ă· Payable Ounces.
- If the transaction includes significant debt, calculate EV first (consideration + debt â cash) and then derive EV/PP.
- PPO = Total Consideration Ă· Payable Ounces.
Select Appropriate Benchmarks
- Peer transactions within the same geographic region (e.g., North America, South America) and of comparable size (midâtier vs largeâscale projects).
- Recent âgoldâpriceâadjustedâ multiples (since higher spot prices tend to lift transaction multiples).
- Peer transactions within the same geographic region (e.g., North America, South America) and of comparable size (midâtier vs largeâscale projects).
Interpret the Result
- Above benchmark â Buyer is paying a premium (potentially due to strategic synergies, highâgrade ore, lowâcost mining, or nearâterm cash flow).
- At benchmark â Transaction is fairly valued relative to peers.
- Below benchmark â Possible discount (could reflect higher risk, lower grade, higher operating costs, or market pressure on the seller).
- Above benchmark â Buyer is paying a premium (potentially due to strategic synergies, highâgrade ore, lowâcost mining, or nearâterm cash flow).
4. What to Do Next (If You Need a Precise Answer)
Obtain the Full Press Release or Transaction Filing
- Look for the âDeal Termsâ section, which typically lists the cash amount, any assumed debt, and the reserve estimate.
Check Barrickâs Investor Relations Website
- Companies often release a supplementary slide deck or a Form 8âK filing that contains the exact valuation metrics.
CrossâReference with NI 43â101 Technical Reports
- The reserve numbers used in the valuation will be documented in the latest technical report for the Alturas Project.
- The reserve numbers used in the valuation will be documented in the latest technical report for the Alturas Project.
Benchmark Against Recent Deals
- Use a database like Bloomberg M&A, S&P Capital IQ, or Refinitiv to pull comparable transactions from the last 12â18 months and calculate the mean and median PPO/EVâPP multiples.
5. Bottom Line
- The news excerpt you provided does not disclose the priceâperâounce (or any other valuation multiple) for the Alturas Project.
- Without the transaction value and the reserve estimate, we cannot compute the multiple nor directly compare it to market benchmarks.
- If you can obtain the missing figures (total consideration and payable ounces), you can calculate the multiple and then gauge it against the typical **USDâŻ$1,300âŻââŻ$1,800 PPO range observed in recent goldâmining M&A.**
Should you acquire those details, feel free to share them and I can walk you through the exact calculation and benchmarking analysis.